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Government expects third wave of Covid in the autumn

The Government expects a third wave of coronavirus to sweep across the UK in the autumn, according to new reports.

Scientists last week said the third wave could start as early as June – with thousands more cases in the summer.

But the latest reports say that has not taken into account the protection provided by the vaccination program, or the fact Covid will be less virulent in warmer summer weather when people are outdoors.

A summary from the Government’s Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling (SPI-M) released last week warned COVID-19 cases could surge this summer if all restrictions were lifted, reports The Express.

The summary released by the SPI-M shows a series of modelling, which warned cases are expected to rise substantially in June after all lockdown restrictions were lifted.

Some of their models held the predicted third wave in the summer could be as big as the January peak of cases and deaths.

A senior Government scientist told The Telegraph: “A lot depends on seasonality as well so it may well be that it’s more like autumn than summer.

“Is that going to be affected by what’s happening in Europe? Well, possibly in the sense that if you get lots of travel coming back and forth that might increase it.

“I think that the expectation is that there will be further waves, but they won’t be as big as the ones that we’ve had, unless things go badly wrong.

“Timing, I think it’s more likely to be autumn than summer, but we’ll see.”

However, Stephen Griffin, Leeds University medical school, told the Observer the UK is at risk from a third wave of coronavirus as lockdown restrictions will be eased despite virus hotspots still growing in many parts of the country.

He said: “There are areas in West Yorkshire, the Black Country and other regions that still have high infection rates.

“However, many people there cannot afford to self-isolate. We need to tackle that issue urgently or the virus will come back again.”

Devon Live